The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder currently hold a 3-2 series advantage over the Denver Nuggets, securing the lead after their Game 5 victory earlier this week. OKC now has the opportunity to eliminate Nikola Jokić and the Nuggets from the NBA playoff bracket in Game 6, scheduled for Thursday. Playing on their home court, the Nuggets will strive to force a decisive Game 7, which would be their second of this postseason.
Game 5 was a captivating contest, marked by the Thunder`s strong fourth-quarter performance for the second consecutive game. Nikola Jokić and MVP frontrunner Shai Gilgeous-Alexander traded baskets during the crucial final minutes. Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 31 points, shooting 12-of-23, and was one of six Thunder players who reached double figures. Jokić delivered an impressive 44 points, the game high, accompanied by 15 rebounds and 5 assists. However, Denver was significantly outscored by 15 points in the fourth quarter.
If the Thunder are victorious on Thursday, they will advance to the Western Conference Finals to face the Minnesota Timberwolves. This would represent OKC`s first appearance in the conference finals since their run led by Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook in 2016. Should the Nuggets manage to win and level the series, a high-stakes Game 7 would take place on Sunday. The Nuggets have prior experience with a Game 7 this postseason, having defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in the first round.
Thunder vs. Nuggets: Game 6 Information
Location: Ball Arena — Denver
TV channel: ESPN | Live stream: fubo
Game 5 odds (via Caesars): Thunder -4.5, O/U 217
Series odds: Thunder -1250, Nuggets +750
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6 Best Bet
The recommended betting pick for Game 6 centers on Nikola Jokić`s assists. Despite his strong scoring output throughout the series, Jokić`s assist numbers (averaging 5.2) are notably lower than his potential assist count (14.8) and his regular-season average (10.2). The analysis suggests that while Jokić continues to create scoring opportunities, his teammates have struggled with converting those passes into made shots. While it might seem counterintuitive to bet on a trend reversal given recent performance, the underlying statistics indicate value in betting over his assist line.
The Pick: Jokić Over 7.5 Assists