The 7th seed Golden State Warriors are set to visit the 2nd seed Houston Rockets for Game 7 of the 2025 NBA playoffs on Sunday night. The dynamic of the series shifted after the Warriors initially led 3-1 following Game 5. The Rockets have since secured two consecutive victories, including a 115-107 win on Friday. Notably, two of Houston`s wins in this series have been by margins exceeding 10 points, both occurring when playing at home. Houston is currently without Jae`Sean Tate (ankle) and Jock Landale (knee), while Golden State lists Gary Payton II (illness) as questionable.
Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET at the Toyota Center in Houston. According to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, Houston is favored by 2.5 points in the Rockets vs. Warriors matchup. The projected total points for the game (over/under) is set at 205.5. Before making any wagers on Warriors vs. Rockets, considering insights from a trusted sports analysis model is recommended.
A sophisticated sports simulation model has analyzed this NBA game thoroughly, simulating it 10,000 times to produce its predictions and betting recommendations. Based on this analysis, here are some key NBA odds and betting lines for Rockets vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Rockets spread: Houston -2.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Warriors vs. Rockets over/under: 205.5 points
- Warriors vs. Rockets money line: Houston -135, Golden State +114
- HOU: Rockets are 47-40-1 against the spread this season
- GS: Warriors are 43-43-3 against the spread this season
- Warriors vs. Rockets picks: Model predictions available
- Warriors vs. Rockets streaming: Available via streaming services
Why the Warriors can potentially cover the spread
Guard Stephen Curry remains a primary offensive weapon for Golden State, particularly from long range, thanks to his exceptional shooting and rapid release. In the 2025 NBA playoffs, he leads his team in scoring (24.3 points per game) and assists (5.5 per game), hitting 39.1% of his three-point attempts. In his most recent game, Curry put up 29 points and grabbed seven rebounds, connecting on six shots from beyond the arc.
Guard Brandin Podziemski offers additional playmaking and scoring capability in the backcourt. Podziemski is averaging 11.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per contest. He has reached double-digit scoring in four games throughout this series. In their Game 4 victory, Podziemski delivered a strong performance with 26 points, five rebounds, and five assists.
Why the Rockets can potentially cover the spread
Center Alperen Sengun has made a significant impact across multiple facets of the game for Houston. During the postseason, Sengun is the team`s leader in points (20.8), rebounds (11.5), assists (5.3), and steals (2). The 22-year-old has recorded four double-doubles against Golden State in this series. In his last outing, Sengun contributed substantially with 21 points, 14 rebounds, and six assists.
Guard Fred VanVleet has been in impressive scoring form over the past three games, scoring 25 points or more in Games 4 through 6. In the Rockets` Game 6 win, VanVleet achieved a series-high 29 points, alongside eight rebounds and eight assists. He has also consistently hit four or more three-pointers in the last three consecutive contests.
How to approach Warriors vs. Rockets picks
The sports simulation model has analyzed the Warriors vs. Rockets matchup and is predicting a combined total of 208 points, leaning towards the Over. The model also suggests that there is significant value on one particular side of the point spread for this game.
Jasper Hawthorne