With the end of the regular season approaching and only 13 games left, the Atlanta Hawks are likely headed to the NBA play-in tournament for the fourth year in a row. Currently seventh in the conference, they are trying to improve their position. The Hawks have shown strong performance recently, winning six of their last nine games in March. Star player Trae Young has been crucial, averaging impressive numbers of 26.1 points and 11.4 assists this month. Interestingly, Young`s assist numbers are slightly higher in wins (11.8) compared to losses (11.1), highlighting his role in Atlanta`s victories. His playmaking will be important as the Hawks host the Golden State Warriors tonight at 7 p.m. ET.
The game opened with Atlanta as a slight 1-point underdog at home, but the odds have shifted, making Golden State a 2.5-point favorite. According to betting consensus, the Warriors are favored on the money line at -139, while the Hawks are underdogs at +118.
For those interested in player prop bets, especially on Trae Young`s performance, advanced analytical models can be helpful. These models continuously analyze data to identify potential betting opportunities. One such model provides ratings for player prop bets, indicating the strength of each recommendation. These insights can be valuable for creating winning parlays on various betting platforms or for same-game parlays.
Let`s examine three highly-rated player prop recommendations from a model for the Warriors-Hawks game and see the potential payout of a same-game parlay based on these picks.
Top Player Prop Picks for Warriors vs Hawks
Brandin Podziemski Under 14.5 points (-106): Highly Recommended
The model suggests betting on Podziemski to score under 14.5 points. He is projected to score around 9.5 points in this game. Historically, in games where the Warriors are favored, Podziemski has stayed under this points prop in 15 out of 25 games, averaging about 9.6 points.
Onyeka Okongwu Under 10.5 rebounds (-106): Recommended
The recommendation here is for Okongwu to get less than 10.5 rebounds. When the Hawks are underdogs against strong defensive teams, Okongwu has gone under this rebound prop in 16 of the last 25 games. In these situations, he averages approximately 7.2 rebounds, and the model predicts around 9.0 rebounds for him against the Warriors.
Trae Young Under 10.5 assists (-118): Solid Pick
Despite leading the NBA in assists, betting on Young to have under 10.5 assists in this game is suggested. Against top-tier defenses, he has gone under his assist prop in 7 of his last 10 games, averaging about 9.0 assists per game in those matches. The model projects around 9.8 assists for Young in this game.
Same-Game Parlay Odds: +598
Jasper Hawthorne