As the 2025 NBA playoffs approach in just two weeks, teams are sharpening their focus for postseason competition. The Golden State Warriors are in a strong position to escape the play-in tournament, currently tied for sixth place in the NBA standings with the Los Angeles Clippers. The addition of Jimmy Butler has significantly boosted Golden State`s performance, with a 17-4 record in games he has played. Betting platforms are offering various player prop bets, such as Butler`s points over/under set at 18.5. How can you leverage these opportunities for strategic NBA parlays and player props?

An advanced SportsLine projection model, which simulates each NBA game 10,000 times, has shown impressive returns, exceeding $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors on top-rated NBA picks over the last six seasons. Stephen Oh, a data scientist behind this model, has analyzed these simulations to pinpoint player props with the greatest potential value.

Karl-Anthony Towns: Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged exactly 40.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists this season, frequently surpassing this mark in recent games. He achieved a triple-double against the Mavericks with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 11 assists, and followed up with a strong performance against the Clippers, scoring 34 points and grabbing 14 rebounds with four assists.

The projection model indicates Towns performs even better against teams similar to the Trail Blazers, exceeding his combined stats in 8 of the last 10 games against teams with losing records and average defensive rankings. The model predicts an average of 47.2 combined points, rebounds, and assists for Towns.

Jalen Green: Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Jalen Green of the Rockets is emerging as a star, leading his team with an average of 21.5 points per game, contributing to Houston`s strong position in the Western Conference. He also averages 4.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists, often exceeding these numbers due to his scoring ability.

However, the Phoenix Suns` defense has been effective at home, holding opponents to under 45% shooting in three of their last five home games. Green has historically performed less effectively on the road, falling short of his combined stats in three of his last five road games with a 37.6% shooting accuracy in his last seven away games. The model projects him to average 27.7 combined points, rebounds, and assists.

R.J. Barrett: Over 16.5 Points

Since joining Toronto, R.J. Barrett has been producing impressive stats, averaging 21.5 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game. Despite this, his points prop is set relatively low, likely due to a recent ankle injury that interrupted a streak of 20-point games. However, he is expected to return to the lineup after resting against the Hornets.

The Philadelphia 76ers have a weak defensive rating, ranking 26th in the NBA, and have conceded an average of 126.6 points per game during their current losing streak. This defensive vulnerability leads the model to project Barrett to score an average of 22.9 points.

Miles Bridges: Over 7.5 Rebounds

Miles Bridges is averaging 7.7 rebounds per game this season, making the over 7.5 rebounds prop an attractive bet at plus money. He has exceeded this rebound prop in four of his last five games and has achieved eight or more rebounds in 29 of 58 games this season. The New Orleans Pelicans` poor defensive rebounding, ranking 29th in the NBA, further supports the projection model`s average of 8.8 rebounds for Bridges.

Ron Holland: Under 2.5 Rebounds

This prop for Ron Holland is set low, but offers a solid plus-money opportunity. The 2024 NBA Draft`s No. 5 pick is averaging 2.7 rebounds per game but has limited playing time recently. Holland has recorded two or fewer rebounds in 8 of 14 games this month and has stayed under three rebounds in 37 of 74 total games. This under prop presents a valuable betting opportunity.

Looking for more NBA expert picks for tonight`s games? Explore comprehensive NBA projections for every player prop available.