Wednesday`s NBA schedule is packed with nine games, including an interesting matchup where the New York Knicks will try to overcome their struggles against top Eastern Conference teams as they face the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road. The Cavaliers are currently favored by 10.5 points with a total points over/under of 230.5. Despite scoring at least 27 points in his last five games, Knicks forward OG Anunoby`s points total is set at 21.5 with plus odds on various betting platforms. Let`s examine some recommended NBA prop bets for Wednesday.
Derrick White Over 0.5 Blocks
Derrick White has been active defensively, achieving two blocks in his recent game against the Grizzlies. He has recorded at least one block in consecutive games and in five of his last seven appearances. While he had a stretch without blocks in February, statistical analysis indicates he typically gets a block in over 70% of his games over the past few seasons. Analysts suggest a favorable matchup for White, especially against Miami on the road.
It`s noted that Miami`s shots get blocked nearly 25% more often when they are playing away. White has exceeded 0.5 blocks in 8 out of his last 11 games, and is currently on a pattern of achieving this in three-game stretches, which could continue tonight.
Ben Simmons Over 0.5 Steals
With the Clippers heavily favored by 17.5 points against the Pelicans, Ben Simmons may see increased playing time off the bench. Projections give Simmons an 80% probability of securing at least one steal.
The Pelicans are known to commit a high number of turnovers, averaging around 14 per game, and this number has recently increased during their current losing streak. Simmons has successfully achieved at least one steal in a significant number of games both as a Clipper and when playing over 20 minutes, making this prop bet appealing.
Alex Sarr Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Projections indicate that Alex Sarr is likely to exceed his individual totals in points, rebounds, and assists. Combining these into a Points + Rebounds + Assists (PAR) bet is considered to have strong value. Sarr, projected for a PAR of 27.9, has been playing significant minutes recently and has surpassed this combined total in two of his last four games.
Analysts highlight a significant rebounding advantage for the Kings, suggesting Sarr could exceed his rebounding projections, potentially leading to more points or assists.
Josh Green Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Building on a previous successful rebounds + assists bet, projections now favor adding points to Josh Green`s prop. Green has surpassed 9.5 points alone in three of his last four games. Playing time is also in his favor, as he received 26 minutes in his last game, his highest in two weeks, and has consistently played over 20 minutes in recent games.
For games involving teams that are not competing for wins, focusing on players with consistent minutes and achievable stat lines, like Josh Green, can be a sound strategy.
Jarrett Allen Over 9.5 Rebounds
Jarrett Allen is averaging 10 rebounds per game, and projections estimate him to get 10.1 rebounds on Wednesday. Given the plus-money odds for a number below his average and projection, this bet presents good value. Although his double-digit rebound games have been less frequent recently, he previously had 15 rebounds against the Knicks in their first matchup this season.
The coaching strategy for the Cavaliers against the Knicks is expected to emphasize dominating rebounds, aiming to improve their standing for the top seed while continuing the Knicks` struggles against elite teams.
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Jasper Hawthorne