The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder are set to host the Memphis Grizzlies, the eighth seed, for Game 1 of their first-round playoff series on Sunday. The Grizzlies secured their playoff spot after a play-in tournament victory against the Dallas Mavericks, overcoming an initial loss to the Golden State Warriors. The Thunder, despite concluding the regular season with four losses, boast the league`s best record at 68-14.
The game is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The betting odds favor OKC by 13.5 points, with an over/under for total points set at 230.5. Oklahoma City`s team total over/under is 122.5.
Why the Thunder Might Win
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder`s guard, has been playing at an MVP level, leading the NBA in scoring with 32.7 points per game, along with 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists. He has demonstrated high-scoring games, including a recent performance of 42 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists.
Chet Holmgren, the power forward, is a significant presence in the frontcourt, averaging 15 points, 8 rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per game. He has shown his capability with double-doubles, like his 22-point, 10-rebound game against the Suns on April 9.
Why the Grizzlies Might Win
Ja Morant, the Grizzlies` guard, is known for his agility and ball-handling skills. He leads the team in scoring (23.2 points) and assists (7.3 assists) while also contributing 4.3 rebounds per game. In the play-in victory against Dallas, Morant scored 22 points, with 7 rebounds and 9 assists. He has achieved 30+ points in several recent games.
Jaren Jackson Jr., the power forward, is a versatile player effective on both ends of the court. He averages 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game and is a threat from beyond the arc, making 37.5% of his three-point attempts. Against the Thunder on March 27, he scored 27 points, blocked two shots, and made five three-pointers.
Game Prediction
Predictions suggest a game total of around 225 points, leaning towards the Under. One side of the point spread is favored in over 60% of simulations.
Jasper Hawthorne