Tue. Sep 9th, 2025

Spain vs. France Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks for Nations League Semifinal

Spain and France are set to meet in a UEFA Nations League semifinal on Thursday, June 5th. Both teams topped their respective groups in the first round of the competition, demonstrating strong form with only one combined loss across 12 group stage matches.

Historically, Spain has won two of the last three encounters. However, France emerged victorious in their 2021 Nations League meeting, decided by a game-winning goal from Kylian Mbappe.

The match is scheduled for Thursday, June 5th, with kickoff at 3 p.m. ET from MHPArena in Stuttgart, Germany.

Spain is favored in the latest odds at +130 (risk $100 to win $130). France is the underdog at +200, while a draw is listed at +220. The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5.

Before placing bets on the France vs. Spain match, consider the analysis from SportsLine expert Jon `Buckets` Eimer.

Eimer is highlighted as SportsLine`s top soccer expert for 2023, with a strong record of 248-234-12 (+25.93 units) on article picks. He has continued his success in 2025, showing profitability across various leagues including the Premier League, Champions League, and La Liga.

Jon Eimer`s Best Bets for Spain vs. France:

  • Both teams to score (-110)
  • Lamine Yamal to score or assist (+160)
  • Ousmane Dembele to score or assist (+150)

Regarding “Both teams to score,” Eimer states that this semifinal features two of the most impressive attacks in Europe. He notes that over 2.5 goals have been scored in five straight matches for Spain. Meanwhile, France have been prolific, outscoring their opposition 14-8 in Nations League play. The “Both Teams To Score” outcome has also occurred in each of the last two meetings between these teams.

For “Lamine Yamal to score or assist,” the player is a key part of Spain`s potent attack, having tallied a goal and an assist in Nations League play. He finished his recent domestic campaign strongly, contributing three goals and an assist over his final four games of the season for his club.

As for “Ousmane Dembele to score or assist,” the French forward has had a busy and successful season, winning both his domestic league title and reaching the Champions League final. Dembele recorded significant goal and assist contributions in his domestic starts this season, adding further goals and assists in Champions League and Nations League matches.

By Jasper Hawthorne

Jasper Hawthorne is a 34-year-old sports journalist based in Bristol. With over a decade of experience covering various sporting events, he specializes in rugby and cricket analysis. Starting his career as a local newspaper reporter, Jasper has built a reputation for his insightful post-match commentary and athlete interviews.

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