The battle for UEFA Champions League qualification in the Premier League is reaching a critical stage. With the potential for five English clubs to qualify for the prestigious European competition based on their performance, the race for the top spots is incredibly tight. While Liverpool and Arsenal seem relatively secure in the top two positions, Newcastle United`s strong recent form has propelled them into a favorable standing for a Champions League spot. However, the tension is palpable just behind them, where Manchester City, Chelsea, Aston Villa, and Nottingham Forest are separated by a mere three points.
Nottingham Forest experienced a significant setback in their bid for a Champions League place on Sunday. They were leading against Leicester City but conceded a late goal in the 81st minute, resulting in two dropped points. This missed opportunity was crucial, as securing the win would have seen Forest leapfrog Chelsea into fifth place. Instead, they remain seventh, looking up at the teams above them. Despite successfully avoiding relegation last season, the `Tricky Trees` have seen their form dip recently, with only two wins in their last eight matches, causing them to slide down the table from third to seventh. Owner Evangelos Marinakis reportedly showed his frustration after the Leicester draw, exchanging words with manager Nuno Espirito Santo.
For a team lacking recent experience in a late-season push for European qualification, Forest`s recent struggles are perhaps understandable. However, it`s undoubtedly frustrating when a Champions League spot felt within their grasp. Their poor spell has occurred at a particularly unfortunate time, especially as competitors like Aston Villa appear to be hitting their stride as the season concludes.
Premier League Top Seven Standings
Here is a look at the current top seven:
| Pos | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 83 | 37 | +46 | 83 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 66 | 33 | +33 | 68 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 68 | 45 | +23 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 43 | +24 | 65 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 43 | +19 | 63 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 63 |
| 7 | Nottingham Forest | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 56 | 44 | +12 | 62 |
Prediction: Who Finishes in the Top Five?
Liverpool`s dominance ensures they are set for the Champions League next season. While Arsenal could technically fall out of the top four, it is highly improbable they will miss out on a Champions League place. Newcastle United, despite facing Arsenal, are in a strong position; a draw would be beneficial for both sides. A defeat could make things complex, but given their goal difference and a winnable final fixture against Everton, it`s unlikely the Magpies will miss out.
Manchester City also suffered a setback with a 0-0 draw away to Southampton, a result that prevented them from almost guaranteeing their Champions League spot. While facing Bournemouth won`t be easy, City is expected to secure the necessary points.
Following their loss to Newcastle United, Chelsea must win their remaining matches. Any dropped points could allow Aston Villa to overtake them. Villa`s upcoming fixtures against Tottenham and Manchester United might benefit them if their opponents are focused on the Europa League final. Should Villa fail to win all their games, Chelsea`s final-day encounter against Nottingham Forest could ultimately decide the fifth Champions League spot.
Here is one possible outcome for the top five:
- Liverpool
- Arsenal
- Newcastle United
- Manchester City
- Aston Villa
Dominic Ashworth