Monday`s NBA schedule is packed with eight exciting games, including a highly anticipated matchup between two of the league`s biggest stars. The Phoenix Suns will host the Milwaukee Bucks as both teams aim to solidify their playoff positions. Giannis Antetokounmpo, despite a probable knee injury, ranks second in the NBA in scoring with 30.2 points per game. However, he has only surpassed 30 points in one of his last four games. Oddsmakers have set his over/under for total points at 31.5. Is it wise to bet the Under on one of the NBA`s premier scorers for your prop bets?
Kevin Durant and Devin Booker of the Suns each have a points over/under of 26.5 for their prop bets. FanDuel Sportsbook offers a tempting +1100 payout if Durant scores 40 or more points, a feat he achieved against the Cavaliers on Friday. Similarly, Booker is at +1060 on FanDuel to score 40 or more, which he accomplished against the Bulls on Wednesday.
Statistical models are used to simulate each NBA game thousands of times, providing insights for bettors. These models have shown significant returns for those following their top-rated NBA picks over recent seasons. Now, these models are offering projections for some of Monday`s most popular NBA player prop bets.
Julius Randle: Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
The Timberwolves may be without Anthony Edwards, who is questionable due to a thumb injury. Randle played limited minutes in their recent game but still managed to lead the team in scoring with 20 points, along with six rebounds and five assists, exceeding this prop total. Monday`s game against the Pacers is expected to be more competitive. Randle has exceeded 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists in 11 of 14 games where he plays extended minutes. BetMGM offers -110 odds for Randle to go Over this total.
Khris Middleton: Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)
Middleton is expected to play on Monday after resting in the previous game. Despite a lower scoring output in his last game, he maintained an aggressive shooting approach. Projections suggest he will exceed his prop total of 16.5 points, rebounds, and assists. In his initial games with Washington, Middleton consistently surpassed this number, averaging over 20. While some sportsbooks have increased his total to 17.5, Fanatics is currently offering it at 16.5 with -125 odds.
Josh Giddey: Over 2.5 Turnovers (-140)
Giddey has seen an increased role due to injuries in Chicago`s backcourt. Increased playing time often leads to more turnover opportunities, even for players not typically prone to them. Giddey has had at least three turnovers in two of his last four games and at least two in five of his last six. The Nuggets` strong defense can force turnovers, making it plausible for Giddey to exceed 2.5 turnovers on Monday. DraftKings offers the best odds at -140.
Spencer Dinwiddie: Over 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+132)
Dinwiddie has been playing significant minutes in recent games and has exceeded 1.5 steals and blocks in both. His increased playing time, combined with the Nets being prone to turnovers and blocks, especially at home, makes this prop bet appealing. Bet365 offers odds of +132, presenting good value according to models.
Jaxson Hayes: Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)
Hayes has consistently exceeded this total throughout the current month. Projections estimate him to reach 14.4 combined points and rebounds on Monday. He benefits from playing alongside Luka Doncic, scoring well and grabbing rebounds in games with the star guard. With Doncic expected to play, Hayes is well-positioned to surpass this prop. DraftKings offers the best odds for the Over at -110.
Looking for more NBA picks for tonight? Explore NBA projections for every player prop at SportsLine.