Jalen Brunson has been instrumental in leading the New York Knicks to one of their strongest seasons in the past ten years. A victory against the Boston Celtics in Friday night`s Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals would send the Knicks to the conference finals for the first time since the 1999-2000 season. New York initially held a 3-1 series advantage but lost Game 5 with a score of 127-102, even though Boston was without Jayson Tatum (Achilles).
Game 6 is scheduled for Friday night at Madison Square Garden in New York, with tipoff at 8 p.m. ET. The New York Knicks are favored by 2.5 points against the Celtics, and the total points over/under is set at 211.5. Jalen Brunson has odds of +450 to score the game`s first point. Before placing any bets on Brunson`s performance or the game itself, it`s worth considering the insights from SportsLine`s reliable computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has a strong track record, yielding significant betting profits for those who followed its top-rated NBA picks over the last six-plus seasons. The model currently holds a hot streak, entering the second week of the 2025 NBA playoffs conference semifinals with a 159-117 record on top-rated NBA picks, resulting in nearly $4,000 in returns. This season, it also boasts a 23-11 (68%) record on top-rated against-the-spread NBA picks.
Here are the model`s recommendations for Jalen Brunson prop bets in the Knicks vs. Celtics game on Friday:
- Under 30.5 points (-125)
- Over 3.5 rebounds (+124)
- Under 2.5 3-pointers made (+114)
- Parlay odds: +480
Under 30.5 Points (-125): Jalen Brunson has averaged 29.4 points in the postseason overall and 26.8 points specifically in this series. While he scored 39 points in Game 4, he was held to 22 in the Knicks` Game 5 defeat. The SportsLine model forecasts Brunson scoring 26.2 points in Game 6, suggesting the under is the preferred play.
Over 3.5 Rebounds (+124): Known for his hustle, Brunson often secures loose balls. He has exceeded 3.5 rebounds in three out of five games in this series, with his average sitting at 3.4 per game. The SportsLine model projects him to grab 3.8 rebounds in Game 6, favoring the over.
Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+114): Brunson has made 15 three-pointers across the five games in the series. However, he has made fewer than 2.5 threes in two of those contests. The SportsLine model predicts he will make 2.0 three-pointers in Game 6, aligning with the under for this prop.
Interested in more NBA betting insights for Friday`s games? Beyond Jalen Brunson`s props for Game 6, you can access picks for every game from the SportsLine simulation model. This model has been highly successful, entering the second week of the 2025 NBA playoffs conference semifinals with a strong 159-117 record on top-rated NBA picks, providing significant returns for bettors.
Jasper Hawthorne