Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals features the Indiana Pacers hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder evened the series at 1-1 with a dominant 123-107 win over the Pacers in Game 2 on Sunday after losing the opener. Entering Game 3, Oklahoma City is favored by 5.5 points, and the total points over/under is 227.5, based on current odds. The Thunder`s money line is -224, while the Pacers are underdogs at +180.
Analysis for this game comes from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. This model has a proven track record, generating significant betting profit on its top-rated NBA picks over recent seasons. It is currently performing strongly in the 2025 NBA Finals.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3 Same Game Parlay Picks
Here are three top picks from the model for a Thunder vs. Pacers same-game parlay for Wednesday`s Game 3:
- Thunder -5.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34 points
- Aaron Nesmith 2+ 3-Pointers Made
Pick Analysis
Analyzing the Thunder -5.5 pick: Oklahoma City has a strong record against the spread, particularly as an away team or away favorite. They also finished the regular season with an impressive road record. Coming off a decisive 16-point win at home, they carry significant momentum into this away game.
Analyzing the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34 points pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been performing exceptionally well in the 2025 NBA Playoffs, averaging 30.4 points. He has surpassed the 34-point mark in multiple playoff games, including recently, and has also done so in previous contests against the Pacers this season.
Analyzing the Aaron Nesmith 2+ 3-Pointers Made pick: Aaron Nesmith stands out as the Pacers` most effective 3-point shooter during the playoffs, hitting close to 50% of his attempts. He has consistently made at least two three-pointers in numerous playoff games this season, including in the first two games of this NBA Finals series.
Additional Picks & Analysis
Beyond these same-game parlay selections, the SportsLine model has also generated picks for the spread, total, and money line for the Pacers vs. Thunder Game 3, based on its 10,000 simulations.
For more expert insights, consider the analysis from Bruce Marshall, who has a strong track record on his recent NBA picks.
Jasper Hawthorne